Topics : This suggests that the virus is easily transmissible within its incubation period and may be passed on by individuals who don’t know they are infected. The team said that isolation within households cut the total number of COVID-19 cases among the study cohort by 20-50 percent compared with no quarantine. “Although the effect of case isolation seems moderate, the high infectivity of the virus during the incubation period suggests quarantine of asymptomatic contacts could have prevented more onward transmissions,” said Qin-Long Jing from the Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Many European nations, before implementing weeks-long lockdowns, issued public health advice only to stay at home if an individual was sick — that is, showing symptoms typical to the virus. The research suggests that may have already been too late to prevent COVID-19 circulating widely.Writing in a linked comment, Virginia Pitzer from the Yale School of Public Health said that a “key difference” between COVID-19 and other coronaviruses was its “substantially higher” probability of transmission in its incubation period. She said the research, published in The Lancet, “confirms the relative importance of pre-symptomatic transmission and the relationship between older age and susceptibility, key insights which should inform design of intervention strategies.” They found that while the average patient had just a 2.4 percent chance of infecting someone they did not live with, that figure jumped to 17.1 percent — around one in six — among cohabitants. According to their models, which rely on data collated in January and February but have been updated to reflect the latest developments, the likelihood of household infection was highest among over-60s, and lowest among under-20s. The overall chances of infecting a family member or live-in partner with COVID-19 are twice as high as with SARS, and three times higher than MERS, another coronavirus, they found. Significantly, the researchers found that the probability of a COVID-19 carrier infecting a family member or flatmate was significantly higher — 39 percent — before they started showing symptoms than afterwards. The novel coronavirus is twice as infectious within households than similar diseases such as SARS, with a substantial number of additional infections spreading before a COVID-19 sufferer shows any symptoms, according to modeling released Thursday.Researchers based in China and the United States said their findings could have profound impacts on reducing the number of new infections as the pandemic progresses. Using data on 350 COVID-19 patients and nearly 2,000 of their close contacts in the city of Guangzhou, China, the researchers estimated the virus’ “secondary attack rate” — that is, the probability that an infected person transmits the disease to someone else.
Margot Robbie talks about filming ‘Bombshell’s’ disturbing sexual harassment scene MOST READ Mos Burger to open in Manila; teases with a pop-up It’s too early to present Duterte’s ‘legacy’ – Lacson How to help the Taal evacuees Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next For the complete collegiate sports coverage including scores, schedules and stories, visit Inquirer Varsity. The Heavy Bombers, though, suffered their third loss in four games and fadl to 7-6.The Scores:SAN BEDA 65 – Mocon 19, Tankoua 14, Potts 14, Abuda 4, Bolick 3, Soberano 3, Doliguez 2, Bahio 2, Cabanag 2, Oftana 2, Presbitero 0, Adamos 0, Carino 0, Tongco 0, Noah 0.JRU 60 – Mendoza 16, Abdul Razak 11, Bordon 9, David 7, Grospe 6, Teodoro 6, Poutouochi 5, Lasquety 0, Dela Virgen 0, Sawat 0.Quarters: 17-10, 31-19, 45-46, 65-60. Carpio hits red carpet treatment for China Coast Guard PLAY LIST 02:14Carpio hits red carpet treatment for China Coast Guard02:56NCRPO pledges to donate P3.5 million to victims of Taal eruption00:56Heavy rain brings some relief in Australia02:37Calm moments allow Taal folks some respite03:23Negosyo sa Tagaytay City, bagsak sa pag-aalboroto ng Bulkang Taal01:13Christian Standhardinger wins PBA Best Player award OSG plea to revoke ABS-CBN franchise ‘a duplicitous move’ – Lacson Cameroonian big man Donald Tankoua also registered a double-double of 14 markers and 13 boards to keep his side rolling at 12-1 on an 11-game winning streak.Davon Potts also went 4-of-8 from three to wound up with 14 points, eight of which coming in the payoff period, including the back-to-back triples to put San Beda ahead 62-57 with 3:14 left to play.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSRedemption is sweet for Ginebra, Scottie ThompsonSPORTSMayweather beats Pacquiao, Canelo for ‘Fighter of the Decade’SPORTSFederer blasts lack of communication on Australian Open smogBut coach Boyet Fernandez said that there’s still a lot left to be desired with the way the Red Lions played this game.“It’s really our defense that really helped us win this game,” he said, after San Beda lost hold of its early 18-point lead, 28-10 in the second quarter. “The worst thing that could happen is we gave up 27 points in the third quarter, which is not our usual self. We also turned the ball over 25 times, we’re consistent at that. So we have to learn how to take good care of the basketball for us to be consistent in our ballgames.” Jake says relationship with Shaina ‘goes beyond physical attraction’ Fernandez, though, took responsibility for the Red Lions’ lackluster play in the second half.“Frankly, if we lost this game, the blame is on me. Credit to coach Vergel Meneses and JRU for playing a good game. But luckily, we played good defense that resulted to clutch shots for Javee and Davon.”San Beda’s win also handed league leader Lyceum a twice-to-beat advantage in the Final Four.The Heavy Bombers still had a chance to close in, trailing by only four, 64-60, after an Ervin Grospe jumper in the final minute, but Aaron Bordon turned the ball over as he was passing to Abdulwahab Abdulrazak which led to a split from the stripe from Tankoua to ice the game in the last 11.6 seconds.Jed Mendoza paced JRU with 16 points and three rebounds, while Abdulrazak had 11 markers and nine boards.ADVERTISEMENT Undefeated champ Andre Ward retires, desire no longer there Steam emission over Taal’s main crater ‘steady’ for past 24 hours In ‘Jojo Rabbit,’ Comedy and Drama Collide DAY6 is for everybody Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. Davon Potts. Photo by Tristan Tamayo/ INQUIRER.netSan Beda officially clinched a seat in the Final Four after outlasting Jose Rizal University, 65-60, in the NCAA Season 93 men’s basketball tournament Friday at Filoil Flying V Centre in San Juan.Javee Mocon unfurled 19 points, 15 rebounds, and five assists to help the Red Lions make it to the postseason for the 12th straight year.ADVERTISEMENT LATEST STORIES View comments